For sale: $35 1-year PUT option on Spider-Man #25

I just came across this picture and figured I had to blog it… After Incompetent Miers, Bush has now bent over to lick the shoes of creepy conservative christian fundamentalists by nominating Alito. The Supreme Court is on the brink of overthrowing Roe v. Wade and making it illegal to be anything but a rich white American male with several Uzis… The presidential elections happened just a year ago today. One down, three to go.

I’m blogging using now. It offers really sweet web 2.0 service integration and I hope that the ease with which I can now blog will boost my throughput, since I certainly haven’t been writing copious entries lately.

I’ve started to feel the tech buzz over the last few months… All kinds of delicious new technologies have emerged over the last couple of years, most of them revolving around concepts like tagging and folksonomy, peer production, and better GUIs using Ajax. We’re already into iteration 2.1, apparently, with tools like flock surfacing, which allow me to do all of the above using one well integrated client application.

I had this weird thought the other day and it seems like there’s a potential for it, but I haven’t completely refined the idea: Why hasn’t anyone come up with an eBay derivatives market? Obviously such a thing wouldn’t make much sense for magazines and books, but I think there could be an opportunity when dealing with big ticket items, appliances, cars, etc. Standard amortization practices of accounting would lead one to believe that this makes no sense at all…. Yet, that’s not quite true. I think that some principles of the long tail actually apply here. I was looking for an old vintage Donkey Kong game console a while back (I don’t mean the Xbox or Nintendo game… I want the standalone machine). Well, you’ll be surprised to find out how much they’re fetching… Clearly most of these collectibles are niche markets. It seems logical that one could spawn a derivative market on top of that… “I don’t have the money right now but I’d like to buy a 1979 VW Beetle convertible. Instead, I’ll buy an $4000 6-month call option on one for, say, $250.00.” I don’t know… maybe it makes no sense at all, but I’m dealing day-in and day-out with currency options, credit derivatives, and there are now even compound options which are options on Currency options… With all these abstractions, you’d think that a derivative market for niche markets could make sense, no? I don’t fully grok it myself… Seems like a fun idea to explore though. 😉

Peace,

David

Why is eBay buying Skype?

I’m trying to figure out the strategy behind eBay’s purchase of Skype for $4.1 billion, but then again… with Google and Microsoft’s recent VoIP acquisitions, the news is not totally out of left field.

There are some suggesting that the online auction market has matured, and that eBay’s merely trying to enter different playing fields… I don’t buy that. If that’s their play, then their CEO must have had some musings while hanging out at the corner liquor store: Hey, I’m in a liquor store and these guys sell prepaid phone cards… eBay is an auction broker, so why don’t we start selling phone calls too?

I think it’s actually a smart acquisition. What eBay really doesn’t want is to lose market share, but it seems like buying Skype will help them streamline the auction process and ensure that they retain their lead. Skype will bring a new payment option to the mix. Mastercard, Visa, Amex, PayPal, or Skype? A buyer can now close her transaction and, if she’s feeling reluctant to give her credit card information online (what with all the identity theft going around these days), she’ll be able to get in touch with the seller directly, free of charge, and talk to the seller to give the requisite payment information. Providing a free way to link buyer and seller could bring in a whole new set of potential customers, late adopters by definition, who are very hesitant to distribute too many personal bits online.